| 1. |
There was evidence from in-house studies of SEAPlant.net and in studies done for IFC Advisory Services that the RAGS seaweed supply – especially for kappa carrageenan - was inadequate to meet probable demand for the study period. |
| 2. |
Based on models developed for the China market and on trade data included in the present study SEAPlant.net has made projections for the overall RAGS gums market. The results are shown in this figure. |
| 3. |
This projection indicated a projected doubling in the requirement for RAGS seaweed raw materials over the next five years. |
| 4. |
Most of this requirement is expected to be for sources of agar and kappa carrageenan that can be made in semi-refined or gel-press process facilities.
|
| 5. |
Based on trends since 2000 and also based on value-chain studies that SEAPlant.net has been involved with it appeared that most of this increase is likely to be generated from Indonesia. |
| 6. |
Perceived cottonii supply shortages during 2008 and the resultant chaotic pricing will probably cause all major buyers to examine their value chain strategies. |
| 7. |
The 2008 cottonii value chain failures may combine with carrageenan regulatory issues and with resistance to the introduction of cottonii to non-indigenous locations to negatively impact the projections show here. |
